Prudence dictates that we don’t completely discount the possibility of an EU ban on Filipino seafarers. We’re hoping, of course, that it won’t come to pass and that the EU will give the Filipino seafarer factory a thumbs up despite certain shortcomings. But what if? We made some quick taps on our calculator and the numbers tell us that the maritime bureaucrats in Manila had better do double-time work for the sake of everyone.

An EU ban, no doubt, would be earth-shaking. But it’s the series of aftershocks following the earthquake that should be cause for real concern. There’s a lesson to be learned from Georgia. The country did not have a significant number of seafarers employed on board EU-flags. The big blow came when a non-EU flag of registry withdrew recognition of Georgian STCW certificates immediately after the EU ban was slapped on Georgia.

So how many Filipinos will be directly affected if and when the EU decides to dump Filipino seafarers?

  347,150      (total no. seafarers deployed in 2010)

            x 5     (average no. of family dependents per seafarer)
________
1,735,750     (total no. of Filipinos to be directly affected)

The total figure would be significantly higher if one assumes a conservative 5% increase in seafarer deployment in 2011 and takes into account the Filipinos’ extended family system. In 2010 Filipino seafarers sent home a total of US$3.806 billion. It’s not just a matter of remittances, however. An EU ban will affect manning agents, maritime schools, review centres, training providers, medical clinics, doctors, maritime lawyers and even tailors. In a word, just about everyone who has been profiting from the sweat and tears of Filipino seafarers. ~Barista Uno

UPDATE:  Filipino seafarer deployment declined by 1.03% in 2011, according to the Philippine Overseas Employment Administration. Still, the number remains significant.

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